← The Daily
Group FMatch 33
Netherlands
vsScheduled
Sweden
Saturday, June 20, 20261:00 PM EDT5:00 PM UTCNRG Stadium, Houston
Prediction
60%Draw 24%16%
0%
Netherlands
0%
Draw
0%
Sweden
Expected goals 1.99 – 0.94
Analyst note
Netherlands are favored at 60% with a 1.99-0.94 expected goals edge, but Sweden's 24% draw probability keeps this from being a sure thing.
Scoreline distribution
↓ Netherlands goalsSweden goals →
0123450
7
4
2
1
0
0
19
11
5
2
0
0
211
10
5
1
0
0
37
7
3
1
0
0
44
3
2
0
0
0
51
1
1
0
0
0
Cells show probability (%). Gold outline = most likely scoreline.
Recent form
Netherlands
- D2–2vs Japan
Sweden
- W5–1vs Tunisia