World Cup '26
← The Daily
Group DMatch 32
Turkey
vsScheduled
Paraguay
Saturday, June 20, 202611:00 PM EDT3:00 AM UTCLevi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area

Prediction

45%Draw 28%26%
0%

Turkey

0%

Draw

0%

Paraguay

Expected goals 1.541.12

Analyst note

The tightest matchup on the slate: Turkey lead at just 45% with a 28% draw and 26% Paraguay win, and the 1.54-1.12 expected goals split signals a close, finely balanced contest.
Cup ’26 Model · AI insight

Scoreline distribution

Turkey goalsParaguay goals →
0123450
9
6
4
2
0
0
1
9
14
7
3
1
0
2
8
9
5
2
1
0
3
4
5
3
1
0
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0

Cells show probability (%). Gold outline = most likely scoreline.

Recent form

Turkey

  • L02vs Australia

Paraguay

  • L14vs USA